If you’re like most of us, you’re not real accustomed to dealing with what statistics really mean.

This article from the New York Times highlights one of the most misunderstood statistical factors about vaccinations especially the flu vaccine. What does it really mean when someone has a problem after getting a vaccine?

It also reminds us of the hazards of 24/7 news coverage. And the hazards of black and white thinking (all vaccines are good and necessary; all vaccines are bad and unnecessary). I encourage you to read and think about these issues before you need to make a decision.

I am very grateful that this virus has remained mild and not mutated toward the virulent end of the spectrum (especially since one son had it while away from home this summer).¬† But it is still early in the game and it’s a bit like trying to predict a hurricane. Where, when, how bad, too much, too little, too soon, too late, what are the best steps to take? It’s science at work in the real world, and some of the best of it out there comes from the CDC– but there are limits to human understandings, and decisions can only be made one day at a time and only with the info available right then. Life is still as much art as science.

I am grateful for people who are willing and able to put themselves on the front lines of making these really, really tough judgment calls.